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Executive Summary

World Drought Atlas Cover

World Drought Atlas

ISSN 1831-9424

European Commission Joint Research Centre and United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification, World Drought Atlas [A. Toreti, D. Tsegai, and L. Rossi Eds], Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 2024, doi:10.2760/3842670, JRC 139691.

Driven by changes in climate, land and water use and management, human population and consumption patterns, droughts worldwide are increasing in frequency, intensity, spatial extent and duration. The last decade has seen extreme, persistent, and recurrent droughts affecting large regions of the world and their populations, economies, and ecosystems. Despite these impacts and the growing risk, droughts have not received commensurate attention with respect to other hazards that have direct and immediately visible impacts. Response and preparedness efforts have not been enough to address the increasing threat posed by drought.

Droughts directly impact up to 55 million people annually and are among the costliest and deadliest hazards globally. They impact critical systems including drinking water supply, agriculture, energy supply, trade and navigation, while also threatening ecosystem health and the services they provide. This Atlas aims at raising awareness of and bring attention to the diverse, multisectoral, and interconnected impacts and showcase solutions to anticipate, prepare for, and adapt to drought.

While drought risk is growing worldwide, including in regions not traditionally associated with droughts, the impacts are not felt evenly. Low-to-middle income countries are often more vulnerable to drought and face greater social impacts. In 2022 and 2023 alone, 1.84 billion people, nearly 1 in 4 worldwide, were affected by drought, with about 85 % of them in low- and middle-income countries. Despite the scale of the threat, drought risk management is underfinanced, which limits the deployment of policies and actions.

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Driven by changes in climate, land and water use and management, human population and consumption patterns, droughts worldwide are increasing in frequency, intensity, spatial extent and duration. The last decade has seen extreme, persistent, and recurrent droughts affecting large regions of the world and their populations, economies, and ecosystems. Despite these impacts and the growing risk, droughts have not received commensurate attention with respect to other hazards that have direct and immediately visible impacts. Response and preparedness efforts have not been enough to address the increasing threat posed by drought.

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The systemic nature of drought is highlighted in Chapter 1 using a conceptual framework that elucidates its elements, including interconnectedness across scales. The connection of drought to, e.g., water security, aridity, and desertification, as well as the importance of ongoing climate and social changes, is also discussed.

Chapter 2 presents drought impacts on different critical systems: water supply, agriculture, hydropower, inland navigation, and ecosystems. Each section is organised by themes that have global importance, and includes a discussion of relevant metrics. Each system is accompanied by an impact chain, a conceptual risk model that aims to visualise the most relevant drivers. The chapter closes with a discussion of cascading and cross-sectoral impacts, including food security, human mobility, conflict and cooperation, human health, and land degradation.

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ibrahim

Ibrahim Thiaw

Executive Secretary of UNCCD and Under-Secretary-General of the UN

United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD)

Drought has challenged and afflicted communities throughout history. Albeit not a new phenomenon, drought is also not going away. Instead, when we observe the droughts that have affected communities in recent years, we cannot deny their striking frequency, duration, or intensity, nor their prevalence – affecting every continent on the globe. Exacerbated by climate change, mismanagement of vital resources - such as land and water- and negligently planned development, the future looks challenging. Estimates suggest that, by 2050, three of every four of us worldwide may be impacted by droughts. 

Growing up in the Trarza region of southern Mauritania, I experienced drought and its debilitating impacts on families, communities and national development firsthand. I vividly recall the devastation caused by a drought in my birthplace in the 1970s. First, our water supply dried up. Then our crops failed. And then, our livestock perished. For months, famine loomed over our village. Instead of subsiding, drought has regularly returned to my community since then, causing displacement, disruption and sometimes, death. 

By experience, the impacts of drought are not limited to land. Drought has a rippling effect: devastating crops and the water supply; every dry spell leaves families ever-more vulnerable to the next episode of drought. And, with each drought, dreams and lives of millions are shattered, leaving behind vulnerable people in search for a better future.

Read More

Drought has challenged and afflicted communities throughout history. Albeit not a new phenomenon, drought is also not going away. Instead, when we observe the droughts that have affected communities in recent years, we cannot deny their striking frequency, duration, or intensity, nor their prevalence – affecting every continent on the globe. Exacerbated by climate change, mismanagement of vital resources - such as land and water- and negligently planned development, the future looks challenging. Estimates suggest that, by 2050, three of every four of us worldwide may be impacted by droughts. 

Read More
bernard

Bernard Magenhann

Acting Director General of the European Commission, Joint Research Centre

European Commission, Joint Research Centre

Drought is a global threat and a global challenge.

Almost all regions of the world are at risk of drought. The impact of droughts can be long term. They have both direct and indirect impacts, with cascading effects and shocks, that we still do not completely understand and cannot easily assess. Droughts evolve on several different spatial and temporal scales, lasting weeks (in the case of flash droughts) to months and even years. Their effects are not always immediately visible and this makes economic and financial assessment very complex.

The severity of threat is nonetheless clear. In recent years, extreme droughts have clearly highlighted the threat these hazards pose to population, economies and ecosystems. They have served as a wake-up call, revealing the limited effectiveness of the actions taken until now. The 2018 and 2022 droughts severely affected European agriculture, the energy sector, river transport as well as key natural systems providing essential services we rely on. We witnessed unprecedented combinations of warm temperature anomalies and persistent lack of precipitation, especially in spring and summer. In 2022, a humanitarian crisis was also triggered by persistent multi-annual drought in East Africa.

Again this year, in 2024, we are shocked by the vast extent of the drought affecting South America and the Amazon, a vital region of our planet that is essential for our climate change mitigation ambition.

Growing up in the Trarza region of southern Mauritania, I experienced drought and its debilitating impacts on families, communities and national development firsthand. I vividly recall the devastation caused by a drought in my birthplace in the 1970s. First, our water supply dried up. Then our crops failed. And then, our livestock perished. For months, famine loomed over our village. Instead of subsiding, drought has regularly returned to my community since then, causing displacement, disruption and sometimes, death. 

By experience, the impacts of drought are not limited to land. Drought has a rippling effect: devastating crops and the water supply; every dry spell leaves families ever-more vulnerable to the next episode of drought. And, with each drought, dreams and lives of millions are shattered, leaving behind vulnerable people in search for a better future.

Read More

Drought is a global threat and a global challenge.

Almost all regions of the world are at risk of drought. The impact of droughts can be long term. They have both direct and indirect impacts, with cascading effects and shocks, that we still do not completely understand and cannot easily assess. Droughts evolve on several different spatial and temporal scales, lasting weeks (in the case of flash droughts) to months and even years. Their effects are not always immediately visible and this makes economic and financial assessment very complex.

Read More
Hugo

Hugo Morán

State Secretary of Environment of Spain, on behalf of the [co-chairs of the] International Drought Resilience Alliance (IDRA)

daouda

Daouda Ngom

Full Professor of Ecology, Minister for the Environment and Ecological Transition, Senegal

International Drought Resilience Alliance

Quality information and data are at the basis of good governance. However, humanity’s knowledge on how drought risks are changing in a warming planet —and what that means for our communities, economies and ecosystems— is often fragmented and abstract.

We, on behalf of the International Drought Resilience Alliance (IDRA) and its more than 70 member countries and organisations, are proud to support the publication you have in your hands: the most complete global knowledge product on drought to date, created to support decision-makers in understanding what a new era of droughts means for social prosperity, economic dynamism and political stability in a globalised world.

Through telling data, illuminating visuals and curated case studies, the Global Drought Atlas shows the extent to which drought risks are globally networked through issues like trade and forced migration; highlights the impacts of drought on crucial economic sectors; and explains what we know works to build resilience to future droughts.

One after the other, the dozens of maps in the Atlas show that no country is immune to drought and that all can attune their policies and investments to better prepare for it.

Around 85% of the people impacted by drought live in low- and middle-income countries and agriculture is often hardest hit. But time and again, the Atlas brings to the fore the systemic and interconnected nature of drought and how its impacts expand across international supply chains, displacement pathways and energy grids.

Droughts are risks, but they needn’t be disasters. From IDRA, we see the Atlas as a powerful new resource to build political momentum for proactive drought risk management ahead of UNCCD COP16 in Riyadh. We already have the knowledge and tools to build our resilience to harsher droughts. It is now our collective responsibility, and in our best interest, to take action for a drought-resilient future.

Quality information and data are at the basis of good governance. However, humanity’s knowledge on how drought risks are changing in a warming planet —and what that means for our communities, economies and ecosystems— is often fragmented and abstract.

We, on behalf of the International Drought Resilience Alliance (IDRA) and its more than 70 member countries and organisations, are proud to support the publication you have in your hands: the most complete global knowledge product on drought to date, created to support decision-makers in understanding what a new era of droughts means for social prosperity, economic dynamism and political stability in a globalised world.

Read More